Foreign Currency Reserves https://sil2.e-infinitum.com/ en The advantages of having our own foreign currency reserve https://sil2.e-infinitum.com/advantages-having-our-own-foreign-currency-reserve <span class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden">The advantages of having our own foreign currency reserve</span> <div class="field field--name-field-related-questions field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Question Answered</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/4" hreflang="en">Why does Scotland need a Foreign Currency Reserve?</a></div> </div> </div> <span class="field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden"><span lang="" about="/user/18" typeof="schema:Person" property="schema:name" datatype="">Stephen Richard</span></span> <span class="field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden">Thu, 10/28/2021 - 15:22</span> <div class="field field--name-field-author-or-creator field--type-string field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Author or Creator</div> <div class="field__item">Common Weal</div> </div> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item"><p><span><span><strong>What is a Foreign Currency Reserve and why do we need one?</strong></span></span></p> <p><span><span><em>What is a Foreign Currency Reserve?</em></span></span></p> <p><span><span>A Foreign Currency Reserve is basically financial savings a nation holds in the currency of other nation (mainly major currencies like the Dollar, Euro, Yen and Yuan). It means that in a financial emergency a government can always buy things from abroad. But one of its most important uses is to manage the value of a domestic currency. If you want to push the value of your currency up you can buy up some of your own currency using another nation's currency and if you want to bring the value of your currency down you can sell your own currency and build up your reserve. You can also spend it if there is a domestic emergency and you can invest it and get interest from it.</span></span></p> <p><span><span><em>How would you use it?</em></span></span></p> <p><span><span>It entirely depends on the strategy you are taking to your currency. For example if you 'pegged' a currency to Sterling (kept them at the same value) you would need to use your reserve if your own currency increased or decreased in value. If you let your currency 'float' (rise and fall in value in relation to Sterling) you may want to smooth the natural increases and decreases. And you might want to affect your currency value for other policy reasons such as to encourage exports.</span></span></p> <p><span><span><em>Doesn't this create risks?</em></span></span></p> <p><span><span>Yes, if not used carefully. A speculative attack is when currency speculators think your currency has a current value 'wrong enough' to profit from it by 'betting against' the currency. They then try to destabilise your currency by doing the same thing you're doing – buying it or selling it and effectively betting on the outcome. But most speculative attacks fail either because they are successfully defended (the national government does the opposite of the speculator and the speculator gives up) or because the national government doesn't bother and lets the currency reach a new value (which may well be good for the economy if the currency is overvalued). But this isn't a risk in the early years of independence because speculators won't hold enough of the new Scottish currency to be able to mount an effective attack.</span></span></p> <p><span><span><em>Is this the only option for managing the value of a currency?</em></span></span></p> <p><span><span>No – that is the purpose of monetary policy as a whole and a foreign currency reserve is only a part of that. Interest rates are an example of another crucial tool.</span></span></p> <p><span><span><em>So how much do we need and how do we get it?</em></span></span></p> <p><span><span>If Scotland wanted to back a new currency and peg it to Sterling in the early years of independence then it would need a Foreign Currency Reserve of about £25 billion. About £15 billion of this would be inherited from the UK or come from other sources that don't 'cost' anything. The remaining £10 billion would be borrowed and added to the national debt. But this would actually work out about half a million pounds cheaper for Scotland than the current cost of maintaining the UK's currency reserve.</span></span></p></div> <div class="field field--name-field-keywords field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Keywords</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/297" hreflang="en">Foreign Currency Reserves</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/158" hreflang="en">Currency</a></div> </div> </div> Thu, 28 Oct 2021 14:22:30 +0000 Stephen Richard 73 at https://sil2.e-infinitum.com Backing Scotland’s Currency – Foreign Exchange Reserves for an Independent Scotland https://sil2.e-infinitum.com/backing-scotlands-currency-foreign-exchange-reserves-independent-scotland <span class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden">Backing Scotland’s Currency – Foreign Exchange Reserves for an Independent Scotland</span> <div class="field field--name-field-author-or-creator field--type-string field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Primary Author or Creator</div> <div class="field__item">Peter Ryan</div> </div> <span class="field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden"><span lang="" about="/user/18" typeof="schema:Person" property="schema:name" datatype="">Stephen Richard</span></span> <span class="field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden">Mon, 09/06/2021 - 22:35</span> <div class="field field--name-field-date-published field--type-datetime field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Date Published</div> <div class="field__item"><time datetime="2017-06-12T12:00:00Z" class="datetime">Mon, 06/12/2017 - 12:00</time> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-category field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Category</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/150" hreflang="en">Currency</a></div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-type field--type-string field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Type of Resource</div> <div class="field__item">Policy Paper</div> </div> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Fast Facts</div> <div class="field__item"><p>Examining how an independent Scotland could back and defend a Scottish currency.</p></div> </div> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-field-precis field--type-text-long field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">More details</div> <div class="field__item"><p>― The size of a country’s foreign reserves are very much dependant on the policy and history of a country and there is a substantial spread of holdings across countries ranging within the European Union from 5.69% of GDP in the UK, through 11.96% in Sweden, up to more than 40% of GDP for countries like Bulgaria or the Czech Republic.</p> <p>― For the purposes of this paper, a more typical sum of 20% of GDP shall be demonstrated, which for Scotland is approximately $40 billion (approximately the same value of foreign exchange reserves as Denmark).</p> <p>― $16.2 billion may be secured through a reasonable division of the UK’s foreign exchange reserves under a debt and asset negotiation.</p> <p>― £4.462 billion worth of hard Sterling currency is in circulation within Scotland. If half of this is converted into the new Scottish currency and the Sterling held by the Scottish Central Bank, $2.9 billion may be raised for the foreign reserve. An equivalence between the new Scottish Currency and Sterling over the transition period will ensure prices initially stay the same.</p> <p>― $13 billion would be raised via a foreign exchange swap with the Bank of England to aid the mutual stability of both the economies of Scotland and the rest of the UK.</p> <p>― €8 billion Euros ($8.8 billion) will be raised via the issue of a Euro bond. Funds raised will be partially converted into other reserve currencies such as Yen and Renmimbi.</p> <p>― In total, $40.23 billion can be feasibly raised to support an independent Scottish currency.</p> <p>― The costs of servicing the debt accrued by Scotland for these reserves (approximately £70.2 million per year) will be substantially less than the current annual contribution by Scotland to the UK’s foreign reserves (£500 million per year) which are being built up by the UK government to bail out the City of London in the event of another crash.</p> <p>― Several scenarios are outlined regarding the ownership of currently nationalised banks such as RBS. Assuming sufficiently regulatory oversight in no case could it be expected that Scotland would bear the full burden of banking losses incurred outside of Scotland</p></div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-resource-url field--type-link field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Resource Address (URL)</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="https://commonweal.scot/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Backing-Scotlands-Currency.pdf">https://commonweal.scot/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Backing-Scotlands-Currency.p…</a></div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-keywords field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Keywords</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/158" hreflang="en">Currency</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/297" hreflang="en">Foreign Currency Reserves</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/549" hreflang="en">Bank ownership</a></div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-related-questions field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Related Questions</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/22" hreflang="en">What currency can Scotland have when independent?</a></div> </div> </div> <div id="field-language-display"> <fieldset class="js-form-item js-form-type-item form-type-item js-form-item- form-item- form-group"> <label>Language</label> English </fieldset> </div> Mon, 06 Sep 2021 21:35:21 +0000 Stephen Richard 187 at https://sil2.e-infinitum.com How To Start a New Country & A Short Guide To Starting a New Country https://sil2.e-infinitum.com/how-start-new-country-short-guide-starting-new-country <span class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden"> How To Start a New Country &amp; A Short Guide To Starting a New Country</span> <div class="field field--name-field-author-or-creator field--type-string field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Primary Author or Creator</div> <div class="field__item">Common Weal</div> </div> <span class="field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden"><span lang="" about="/user/18" typeof="schema:Person" property="schema:name" datatype="">Stephen Richard</span></span> <span class="field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden">Wed, 08/18/2021 - 23:26</span> <div class="field field--name-field-alternative-published-date field--type-string field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Alternative Published Date</div> <div class="field__item">August 2021</div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-category field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Category</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/74" hreflang="en">Scottish government</a></div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-type field--type-string field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Type of Resource</div> <div class="field__item">Policy Paper</div> </div> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Fast Facts</div> <div class="field__item"><p>Both books are essential reading for both believers in Scottish independence and undecided voters who seek answers to their practical questions about the processes required for starting an independent country.</p></div> </div> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-field-precis field--type-text-long field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">More details</div> <div class="field__item"><p>Common Weal is proud to present the end result of 18 months of work on the White Paper Project: a blueprint for how to start an independent Scotland, together with a short guide to starting a new nation, arming the independence movement with the most important piece of work completed since the 2014 referendum.</p> <p>Both books are essential reading for both believers in Scottish independence and undecided voters who seek answers to their practical questions about the processes required for starting an independent country.</p> <p>The purpose of this work is to explore the practical steps that Scotland would have to take if it wanted to become an independent country. The book’s starting point is the day after the referendum at which a majority of Scotland have voted for independence and it ends three years later with Independence Day.</p> <p>Based predominantly on Common Weal’s 18 month long White Paper Project, the book explores how Scotland would build its new systems and infrastructure, how it would pay for it all and how much it would cost.</p> <p>An independent Scotland should aim to establish itself as a 21st century nation. It is an excellent opportunity to design the country not as an adaptation of the 19th century nation but as one which is rooted in modernity.</p></div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-resource-url field--type-link field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Resource Address (URL)</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="https://commonweal.scot/shop/package-deal-two-books-how-to-start-a-new-country-a-short-guide-to-starting-a-new-country/">https://commonweal.scot/shop/package-deal-two-books-how-to-start-a-new-country-…</a></div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-keywords field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Keywords</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/168" hreflang="en">Scottish Independence</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/481" hreflang="en">Constitution</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/269" hreflang="en">Cost of independence</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/488" hreflang="en">Domestic finance</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/397" hreflang="en">Central bank</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/158" hreflang="en">Currency</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/297" hreflang="en">Foreign Currency Reserves</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/722" hreflang="en">Civil Service</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/250" hreflang="en">Council of Europe</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/222" hreflang="en">European Union</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/611" hreflang="en">Citizenship</a></div> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/347" hreflang="en">Passports</a></div> </div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-related-questions field--type-entity-reference field--label-above"> <div class="field__label">Related Questions</div> <div class='field__items'> <div class="field__item"><a href="/taxonomy/term/31" hreflang="en">What would happen if Scotland declared independence today?</a></div> </div> </div> <div id="field-language-display"> <fieldset class="js-form-item js-form-type-item form-type-item js-form-item- form-item- form-group"> <label>Language</label> English </fieldset> </div> Wed, 18 Aug 2021 22:26:48 +0000 Stephen Richard 162 at https://sil2.e-infinitum.com